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We're into the quarter-finals now, after a rousing series of games in the Round of Sixteen. The quarter finals promise a new set of matches, including a few that pit the true Cup Contenders against one another. I've got 12 games for you: 8 that have just been played, 4 to look forward to this weekend.
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USA 1-2 Ghana
First matter of business: The United States was eliminated, losing 2-1 against Ghana. Trust me, I'm as upset about that as you are. How did it happen? As expected, the USA conceded a goal early, letting the ball get stolen deep in their own territory after the rest of the team had already started the attack. The mistake cost them, and they went into the locker room at halftime down 1-0. Still, the Americans rallied, playing clearly the better game in the second half. They were rewarded for their efforts with a penalty kick in the 62nd minute, which Donovan nailed. Ghana had a few good opportunities after that, but for the most part, the second half was all America. Despite this, we were unable to put the finish on a game-winner. One problem was the American forwards, who have yet to score a goal (despite that being, y'know, their job). Altidore is the biggest under-performer, with absolutely no hustle - he simply sat in the opponent's box and demanded perfect service (which he then failed to capitalize on). With the game tied 1-1 at the end of 90 minutes, the game went into a 30-minute overtime. Once again, Ghana scored early, after a rather ugly scrabble between two defenders and one attacking Ghanian. This time, there was no rally - the States looked deflated and exhausted, and overtime ended with the score 2-1 against. I wish I could say the better team won, but they really didn't. Ghana advances, and will play Uruguay on Friday.
Uruguay 2-1 South Korea
Somewhat in line with my expectations, South Korea struggled to contain Diego Forlan and the Uruguayan attack. The real story, though, is Uruguay's defense, which came together to shut down Korea in the box and force them to rely on long, outside shooting. It was pouring rain the entire game, which always makes things more unpredictable. The first goal came in the eighth minute, with Forlan slipping a cross past the keeper, who came out to intercept, letting the ball through to Suarez for an easy goal. Down 0-1, Korea pushed forward on offense, but Uruguay remained composed and effective on defense, letting the Koreans handle the ball but repeatedly turning away incursions into the penalty area. There was a danger of the game becoming dull, until Korean striker Lee sailed above the Uru defense and headed a poorly-cleared ball into the net for a goal. With the game now tied, Uruguay came back alive on offense, with Suarez finally putting away the game-winner after beating two Korean defenders and bending it into the far corner.
Germany 4-1 England
The much-anticipated showdown between Germany and England ended up looking more like Germany versus Poland, with the English appearing generally slow, lazy, and unimaginative. Not to be harsh, of course. The first goal came with Klose practically wrestling his way past the last British defender for a short finish past British keeper James. As the commentator noted: "That would be embarrassing if they [the English defenders] were 13 or 14." A second goal by Podolski (Klose & Podolski, my two favorite Germans) exposed more weakness in the English defense, as Mueller drew the entire team's attention down the middle only to feed the wide open and unmarked Podolski on the wing, who hammered home a tough shot to put the Germans up 2-0. But the British weren't ready to give up quite yet: After a free kick on the periphery, a long cross found Upson wide open, and he headed it in for a textbook goal: 2-1. Another opportunity came barely seconds later, when Germany lost the ball in the midst of their attack. Lampard found himself with space and fired a laser of a shot that ricocheted in off the top bar with so much spin that it promptly bounced back out. The German keeper, Neuer, snatched it immediately, and the ref mistakenly ruled it "no goal". The Brits went into the half feeling very much robbed of a goal that could've tied the game for them. In the second half, Mueller scored two more goals for Germany, so it ended up being a moot point. British fans will try to tell you that if it'd been 2-2, they would've played differently, they would've rallied and won it, but I was rooting for England, and let's be honest: They got out-played. 4-1 was the final score, and you can argue that it should've been 4-2, but either way it's Germany who will be playing in the quarterfinals.
Argentina 3-1 Mexico
No real surprises here: Argentina's offense came out swinging and put away the win by a substantial margin. But in reality, the game was much closer than the scoreboard indicated. Mexico got some good chances early, and over the course of the game managed as many shots on goal as the Argies. But it was the Argentine's whose goals went in: first a header by Tevez off a pass from Messi (who I mention only because he's the quote-unquote Best Player in the World, despite an utter lack of goals scored) in the 26th, then a one-on-one by Higuain after a huge defensive mistake in the 33rd, then a laser by Tevez again after some neat footwork to develop space in the 52nd. Mexico scored a goal of it's own in the 71st minute, but by that time it was too late, and the Mexicans knew it. There's little point in noting that Argentina's first goal was clearly off-sides, and should've been called back. Maradona's boys in the baby-blue stripes continue on to the quarterfinals.
Netherlands 2-1 Slovakia
They had something to cheer about in Holland this week, with the Netherlands pulling a 2-1 win over Slovakia. Key to this win was striker Arjen Robben, who was finally back on the pitch after a hamstring injury that had sidelined him since the tournament began. He scored the game's first goal in the 18th, breaking free on a looooong pass before breaking to the center and finishing past three Slovaks with his left foot. Slovakia tightened ranks after that, and the game began to look fairly equal, though the Netherlands stayed on the attack and kept their goalkeeper out of danger. They didn't score again until the 84th minute, with Kuyt (apparently pronounced "Cowt") showing great composure by forgoing a one-on-one in order to feed Sneijder (pronounced "Snyder"... seriously guys?) an easy open-net goal. Slovakian star Robert Vittek pressed the attack hard in the closing minutes, and earned a last-second penalty kick, which he scored (making him the highest-scoring Slovakian ever), but the referee called time just seconds later, with the final score 2-1 in the Netherlands favor.
Brazil 3-0 Chile
This is another game where the final score doesn't do a very good job of representing how the game went. Chile and Brazil are, in a lot of ways, very similar teams. The difference is simply that Brazil has better players. They had more control, more speed, more muscle, more enthusiasm - only slightly more, but game-changingly so. Chile simply had no arena in which to take refuge. Brazil was good on set pieces, with a header by Juan off a corner kick. They were good on the break, with a three-man offensive dashing up the left wing and giving Fabiano an clean finish on the goal. They were good at ball handling, with Ramirez dribbling straight down the center before passing Robinho an easy goal. Brazil looks like the team to beat in this World Cup as they have in so many others - a combination of the raw talent of Argentina with the coordinated offense of the Germans. Chile had a decent team, but Brazil brought an excellent one.
Paraguay 0(5)-0(3) Japan
I promised you a close match, didn't I? This one remained scoreless through 90 minutes of regular time, and stayed that way through 30 minutes of overtime. When this happens, the game comes down to a penalty shoot-out, with each team taking five opportunities to score. The crucial mistake came with Japan's third penalty kick, delivered by defender Yuichi Komano, skipped off the bar and over the goal. As soon as I heard a defender was going up for the kick, I knew it meant trouble for Japan - that's just common sense. After examining his stats (most notably, his lack of any goals scored in the competition thus far), I'm still scratching my head. Japan's last chance came with Paraguay's Oscar Cardozo facing off against Japanese goalie Eiji Kawashima in a scene reminiscent of the final fight of a Kurosawa film. Cardozo and Kawashima face each other, each studying the other's stance, watching for any slight indication of their plan. A beat goes by in silence and then, as if the referee's whistle has broken some kind of spell, both charge forward. There's a decisive stroke, a single blow, and it's all over. "The East Wind," remarks Kawashima, "rustles the sakura blossoms of my homeland." He coughs blood and collapses. Cardozo walks off the field without looking back, a single tear on his cheek.
Okay, so the last bits didn't happen, but it was still pretty suspenseful. Both teams can be proud of the way they played, though only Paraguay will be advancing to the next stage.
Spain 1-0 Portugal
And this last game, between Iberian rivals Spain and Portugal, proved to be the most predictable of the Round of Sixteen. Remember how I said that if Portugal wanted to win the game, they'd have to throw out their conservative, nothing-wagered-nothing-lost style in favor of a strong attack? Well, they didn't change styles, and as a result, they didn't win either. Portugal focused on defense the entire game, trying not to make errors at the expense of being unable to capitalize on Spain's mistakes. The numbers, while frequently misleading, tell the whole story here: 61% possession for Spain, with 19 shots, 10 of which were on-target. Portugal managed only 39% possession, and got 9 shots, only 3 of which required saving. The game's lone goal came in the 63rd minute, with David Villa penetrating the defense and taking a shot straight into Portuguese goalkeeper Eduardo. The ball bounced off him and straight back to Villa, who took a second shot, this time finding the back of the net. Excellent play by Spain, who cruise into the quarterfinals after a tense but ultimately nonthreatening game.
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So that's what happened; now, what will happen:
Netherlands vs. Brazil - July 2, 10:00am
The first major conflict between true contenders, this game will be a very tough showdown for both sides. Questions remain about the Netherlands' ability to defend: up until now, they've gotten by by slowing things down in the midfield and using smart, controlled coverage to limit their opponent's options. The same methods might work against Brazil, but when a mistake is made (and there surely will be at least two or three) Brazil will be able to capitalize like no team the Dutch have faced so far. Brazil's defense has been solid but unremarkable. This game could turn into an offensive gunfight, or both teams could take the cautious route and limit the game to very few goals. I'll say 3-2 Brazil, though I'm hoping for a Dutch upset all the same.
Uruguay vs. Ghana - July 2, 2:30pm
Ghana may have all of Africa behind them, but all the buzzing in the world won't stop Uruguay's Diego Forlan from styling all over the back of the net. I'm predicting a 2-0 win for Uruguay: 2 because Uruguay's offense is good, 0 because their defense is, too. Accuse me of sipping the Haterade if you like, but Ghana doesn't seem to have a strong enough team to make it past their very dangerous South American opponents.
Germany vs. Argentina - July 3, 10:00am
This is the game that has the soccer fans salivating: two very good teams bringing two very different play styles onto the field. Germany's offense is looking like a well-oiled machine of the Panzer variety, with quick tactical play on the wings and in the midfield. Argentina uses a more free-form method, focused on beating defenders and finding space on the move. Both teams have played dominantly enough (German loss to Serbia excepted) that their defenses have yet to see a major challenge. Whoever puts together their strategy to score first will probably score second as well. I'm going to predict a 3-1 win for Germany, taken with the grain of salt that I simply like them more.
Paraguay vs. Spain - July 3, 2:30pm
The last game of the quarter-finals pits favorite Spain against major underdogs Paraguay, and I'm predicting the usual outcome: Spain will win handily. Paraguay was, I'll admit, a slightly better team than Japan, but Portugal was a better team than either of them, and Spain beat them without much trouble. On the flip side, Paraguay may well have the balls that Portugal did not: If they can put away an early goal, they may just hang on for the upset. I'm not betting on it, though. 2-0 Spain, and that's my conservative estimate.
Okay, so those're my predictions for the next round. The next game isn't until Friday, meaning that for the first time in weeks, I won't have a single soccer game to watch tomorrow. I hope you'll tune in to a few of the games - Germany/Argentina looks like must-watch soccer, though my prediction is almost certainly horribly wrong. It's almost over, people: only 8 more games until I go back to writing about something other than soccer.
Next Time:
-Semifinals, of course
